2025: A real test for the strength of Arab economies - By Raad Mahmoud Al-Tal , The Jordan Times
Arab economies entered 2025 under difficult global and regional conditions. Global growth slowed, and advanced economies adopted stricter trade and economic policies. These developments increased pressure on Arab countries, whether oil exporters or importers, and raised serious questions about how strong current economic models really are and whether they can handle repeated shocks.
One of the main challenges was the global economic slowdown. This led to lower foreign investment in many Arab countries, as investors became more cautious and preferred safer markets. At the same time, countries with limited public finances struggled to reduce deficits while still protecting social spending.
Inflation added another layer of pressure, especially in countries that depend on imported food and energy. Although inflation eased globally compared to previous years, its impact was still felt by households through higher living costs. Governments faced higher subsidy bills, which put additional strain on public budgets already burdened by debt and deficits.
Unemployment remained a serious structural problem. High jobless rates, particularly among young people and women, exposed a clear gap between education systems and labor market needs. They also showed the limited ability of traditional sectors to create enough stable jobs, highlighting the ongoing problem of weak economic diversification in many Arab economies.
Regional geopolitical tensions further complicated the situation. These tensions disrupted trade and transport, increased shipping and insurance costs, and affected regional supply chains. Tourism also suffered in several countries, as higher risks discouraged travelers and reduced demand from key markets.
Investment was one of the sectors most affected by uncertainty. Many investors delayed expansion plans or shifted their investments to other regions. While some oil and gas exporting countries benefited from price fluctuations, these gains were temporary and did not compensate for the broader economic losses caused by regional instability.
At the same time, economic ties between Arab countries and their neighbors developed unevenly. New partnerships emerged in energy, electricity connections, and transport, especially with Turkey, Eastern Mediterranean countries, and parts of Asia. This reflected efforts by Arab economies to diversify trade partners and reduce dependence on traditional markets.
However, these efforts faced major obstacles. Political tensions, economic sanctions, and weak cross-border infrastructure limited the benefits of cooperation, despite the strong potential for deeper integration in energy, logistics, and supply chains.
Intra-Arab economic relations also remained weak. Trade between Arab countries still makes up a small share of their total trade, compared with other economic blocs. This is due to non-tariff barriers, different economic policies, and limited coordination in trade and industrial strategies.
Although several joint Arab initiatives were launched in areas such as food security, energy, and investment, their real impact remained limited. Different national priorities, weak logistics links, and the lack of a unified political vision prevented the creation of a truly integrated Arab market.
2025 showed how challenging the economic situation has become for Arab countries, but it also highlighted missed opportunities. Addressing these challenges requires deeper reforms, real economic diversification, and stronger regional cooperation. Without these steps, Arab economies will continue to face repeated shocks and ongoing uncertainty in a fast-changing global environment.