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    11-Nov-2024

Trump and the heavy legacy - By Mohannad Abbas Haddadin, Jordan News

 

 

 What awaits the 47th US President Donald Trump coming to the White House at the beginning of next year 2025 is a heavy legacy left by the current president Biden, which is a huge failure in US domestic and foreign policy that has damaged the US economy, the geopolitical tensions that still exist have caused a heavy burden on this economy, and we will touch on some of those aspects and let's start with US foreign policy.  


First :the Russian-Ukrainian war, this war that has been going on for 33 months, has not achieved its military goals on the ground nor its economic goals by imposing economic sanctions on Russia and completely separating it from Europe, as the Russian economy has achieved better economic growth this year than the strongest economy in Europe, which is Germany, and not only that, but the war has led to a significant decline in the European economy, reflected on the life of Europeans in the high cost of living, and what we saw from the dismissal of the German finance minister by German president Schulz and holding this minister responsible for the failure of financial policies and the weakness of the German economy is the best proof of this, and tens of billions of dollars before the US and Europe are engaged in a futile war that has drained the European and US economies, and what has made it worse is that the US foreign strategic policies and decisions are being followed in favor of the US president to prove his success in front of his next rival, so Biden directed the Ukrainians to attack the Russian province of Kursk to try to keep his success papers in any upcoming negotiations in front of Russia to prove that the war is still in favor of the Ukrainians, and he still supports Ukraine where he will provide assistance to Ukraine the rest of this year worth 6 billion dollars .
 Second:the Gaza and South Lebanon wars, these two wars have not achieved any military success on the ground, the resistance parties in Gaza and southern Lebanon are still able to fire rockets at Israel, there are still Israeli detainees in Gaza, and the residents of the North of Israeli are unable to return to their homes, what the current president Badin wanted more than three months ago by launching his initiative in an exchange deal for the release of Israeli detainees in Gaza, and stopping the war has not materialized, and the situation was made worse by the flare-up of the south Lebanon front and the direct clash between Israel and Iran, and what the Israeli Prime Minister later dismissed his defense minister Galant to oppose him in his personal decisions supporting extremists ,those who support him are exempting the Sons of religious extremists from military service and closing any horizon for the exchange of detainees, which former  minister of defence Gallant opposed, but Netanyahu's uniqueness in his personal policy of eliminating and exterminating the population of Gaza, as well as transferring the experience of Gaza to southern Lebanon, where Netanyahu is racing against time before president Trump took office, this US failure in the Middle East is added to Biden's failure in the Russian-Ukrainian war. 
Third: tensions on the Taiwanese Peninsula, President Biden did not succeed in besieging China and preventing advanced technology from electronic chips from it, despite spending tens of billions of dollars to move the chip factory from Taiwan,what the world has seen is China's ability this year to produce chips similar to Taiwanese chips in size, despite the pressure on China by preventing Taiwan and Europe to transfer of that technology to China. we have seen military tensions in Taiwan during the era of president Biden that almost sparked a war on that island. 
Fourth: these geopolitical tensions and the wars supported by the US, especially the Gaza war and the south Lebanon War, have damaged the reputation of the United States as a result of its support for Israel and double standards, when its ally Israel flouted all international conventions and resolutions in its bloody war targeting civilians in Gaza, including children and women.Israel dared to circumvent the United Nations body and even closed its institutions in Gaza.
Fifth: the extension of the BRICS and the loss of reliable allies, which poses a great danger to the future of the dollar and the US economy .
These are some of the foreign policies that the Biden administration failed to deal with, as for domestic policy, it was greatly affected in foreign policy as a result of President Biden's preoccupation with supporting those wars with tens of billions of dollars instead of spending them at US economy, in addition to his government's weakness in dealing with the economic file, which reflected negatively on the US citizen from inflation is 2.7% and the forecast was 2.6% last month, which is still far from the target which  is 2%, and the problem of stuck migrants, numbering 10 million refugees, and Biden also did not support the US industries properly, as they suffer from high taxes and high production costs,we have seen the superiority in sales of the Chinese electric car industry over its US counterpart, as well as the lack of expansion in oil production to provide quantities of US oil covering the domestic market for industries and the US consumer, in addition to the problem of the US debt, which will amount to about 36 trillion dollars when Trump takes office.
  So, with President Trump in office, will he fulfill his promises to end wars and revive the US economy?
 What Trump will do in Ukraine is to call for all parties to sit at the negotiating table and stop support for Ukraine, forcing his European allies to pay the US bill if negotiations drag on to support Ukraine, in addition to imposing 2% of the budget of NATO countries in favor of the defense budget .
As for the Palestinian issue, Trump will work to stop the Gaza war and the Lebanon war, and calm down with Iran by entering into negotiations regarding the Iranian nuclear program, provided that Israel did not commit a strategic mistake by striking the Iranian nuclear reactor before Trump took office, which will complicate things further .
Trump realizes that the deal of the century that he came to during the era of his first presidency has become risky today, what the resistance did in Gaza will not pass the deal of the century in its previous form, without a two-state solution, and it will not be normalization with Arab countries and the passage of international economic plans by jumping off the Palestinian issue, in addition, Trump must realize that the world's countries are always looking for their economic interests, things are different from the past, there is not a single policeman left for the world as a result of the birth of new poles and alliances, which will complicate his next task.

 

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